empty
07.03.2025 12:12 PM
Donald Trump explains decline in stock market

There will be no lifeline. The S&P 500 continues to send distress signals, but Donald Trump is not paying attention or at least pretends not to. In one of his speeches, the US president stated that he did not care about what was happening in the American stock market because, in the long run, the economy would strengthen, so investors had nothing to worry about. On another occasion, the Republican claimed that globalists were behind the stock market sell-off, accusing them of being envious of the United States.

US Stock Market Trends

This image is no longer relevant

A scapegoat can always be found. For Donald Trump, it is once again China. Beijing was blamed for the COVID-19 pandemic, and now it is accused of triggering the US stock market's decline. The story of China's DeepSeek was the catalyst for investors fleeing American tech stocks. It is no surprise that the Magnificent Seven were the first to enter correction territory, followed by the Nasdaq 100. Now, a 10% drop in the S&P 500 from its February highs seems inevitable.

Trump's theory about globalists deserves attention. However, the record highs in stock indexes after the US presidential election were driven by hopes for economic acceleration and the assumption that the White House would act as a safety net for the S&P 500 in case of a steep decline. Neither of these expectations is materializing.

The more economic data comes in, the more concerns grow about the US economy. The disappointing February ADP employment report was followed by bleak trade balance figures. The front-loading of imports ahead of Trump's tariff hikes led to a record US trade deficit in January—34% higher than in December.

US Trade Balance

This image is no longer relevant

Net exports may drag down GDP growth, making the Atlanta Fed's forecast of a US economic contraction in the first quarter increasingly realistic. The urge to offload toxic US assets is rising, leaving the S&P 500 with little choice but to fall.

This image is no longer relevant

News that the White House exempted some goods from the 25% tariffs under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) did not provide lasting relief. The exemption covers 50% of imports from Mexico and 38% from Canada. The S&P 500 briefly rebounded but quickly resumed its decline. Without White House support, whether against globalists' alleged manipulations or fears of an approaching recession, the US stock market has little chance of recovery.

Technically, on the S&P 500 daily chart, the Broadening Wedge pattern has been activated based on the Three Indians pattern. Point 5 could be located significantly lower. As long as the broad-market index trades below 5,800, selling remains the preferred strategy.

Marek Petkovich,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Donald Trump sows confusion again with tariff remarks

United States President Donald Trump once again stirred confusion on Tuesday by announcing plans to introduce a series of exemptions to his sweeping tariff proposal. The announcement served

Jakub Novak 11:36 2025-03-26 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold continues to show a positive tone today, but conviction behind the upward movement remains weak. Market uncertainty, driven by the tariffs announced by Donald Trump—set to take effect

Irina Yanina 10:54 2025-03-26 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The Japanese yen remains under pressure today due to weak domestic economic data. In February, Japan's leading inflation indicator in the services sector rose by 3.0% year-over-year, slightly below

Irina Yanina 10:42 2025-03-26 UTC+2

Looks Like It's Time to Focus on the Euro and Yen (EUR/USD May Fall, USD/JPY May Rise)

Since mid-month, financial markets have been trying to recover while frantically analyzing all possible developments surrounding the trade war the U.S. launched against its largest trading partners. Investor sentiment continues

Pati Gani 08:52 2025-03-26 UTC+2

Markets Won't Rush Headfirst into the Fire

Donald Trump has dealt such a heavy blow to globalization that conditions and outlooks for the future have changed—now divided along territorial lines. While European banks believe the S&P 500's

Marek Petkovich 07:00 2025-03-26 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on March 26? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Very few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Wednesday, and only one important report is expected. The UK will release what may seem like a significant inflation report. Inflation remains

Paolo Greco 06:03 2025-03-26 UTC+2

GBP/USD Pair Overview – March 26: The Pound Isn't Even Trying. Inertial Growth Continues

The GBP/USD currency pair resumed its upward movement on Tuesday. It did so on a day when there were no significant events in the UK, and the only noteworthy report

Paolo Greco 02:40 2025-03-26 UTC+2

EUR/USD Pair Overview – March 26: No News, No Movement

The EUR/USD currency pair traded with low volatility on Tuesday. There have been times when the euro would crawl just 40 pips a day, and while current volatility isn't extremely

Paolo Greco 02:40 2025-03-26 UTC+2

EUR/USD: The Southward Trend Stalls, but Long Positions Remain Risky

A mixed situation has developed around the EUR/USD pair. On the one hand, the bearish sentiment prevails: last week, the price reached a 5-month high at 1.0955, while on Tuesday

Irina Manzenko 23:59 2025-03-25 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/JPY pair is retreating from the psychological level of 151.00, reached earlier on Tuesday, though this pullback is not accompanied by significant selling pressure. The Japanese yen is attracting

Irina Yanina 18:09 2025-03-25 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.