empty
08.11.2024 11:52 AM
AUD/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

The AUD/USD pair is pulling back from the resistance zone near the 100-day SMA. Expectations that U.S. economic policies will stimulate growth and limit the Federal Reserve's ability to aggressively cut interest rates are helping the U.S. dollar halt its pullback from a four-month high observed the previous day.

This image is no longer relevant

This is the primary factor putting downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Meanwhile, AUD/USD bulls seem unaffected by the news that the Standing Committee of the National People's Congress of China approved plans to raise the local debt ceiling. Even the Reserve Bank of Australia's hawkish stance failed to provide support for the Australian dollar.

A decline and consolidation below the critical 200-day SMA would indicate that the short-covering rally has run its course. Daily chart oscillators are recovering but have not yet fully entered positive territory. Further declines could pull the AUD/USD pair down to the psychological level of 0.6600, with the next support at 0.6555. The downward trajectory could extend further toward 0.6510 or a multi-month low before the exchange rate eventually drops even lower.

On the other hand, bulls need to wait for a sustained breakout above the 100-day SMA resistance, currently just below the psychological level of 0.6700, before initiating new trades. Beyond that, the 50-day SMA near 0.6717 serves as the next resistance level, above which the AUD/USD pair may attempt to rise toward the intermediate resistance of 0.6755, targeting the psychological level of 0.6800.

A subsequent move higher would indicate that the recent decline has exhausted itself, shifting the short-term bias in favor of the bulls.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is experiencing a slight decline after reaching a new all-time high, remaining in a defensive stance. Currently, bullish traders are exercising caution, as indicated by overbought conditions

Irina Yanina 10:29 2025-03-20 UTC+2

Fed's message music to bulls' ears

The Fed is not throwing a lifeline to the S&P 500, but does it need one? Lifelines are for those drowning, while the market is merely spooked by a fleeting

Marek Petkovich 09:05 2025-03-20 UTC+2

Markets Are Stuck in a Vicious Circle with No Exit in Sight (Potential Decline for Bitcoin and Gold Prices)

The markets are currently experiencing significant shock due to a prevailing negative sentiment that looms over them like a heavy burden, with no resolution in sight. Given this situation

Pati Gani 08:23 2025-03-20 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on March 20? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are several macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday, primarily in the UK. Key reports will include the unemployment rate, changes in the number of unemployed individuals, and average wages

Paolo Greco 07:15 2025-03-20 UTC+2

GBP/USD Pair Overview – March 20: Bank of England Vote May Cool Bullish Sentiment

The GBP/USD currency pair traded very calmly on Wednesday, considering the evening movements. As a reminder, we are not analyzing the results of the Federal Reserve meeting

Paolo Greco 02:18 2025-03-20 UTC+2

EUR/USD Pair Overview – March 20: The Euro Holds a Strong Leadership Position

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced a slight pullback but failed to consolidate below the moving average line. As per tradition, we will not analyze the outcome

Paolo Greco 02:18 2025-03-20 UTC+2

EUR/JPY: Mixed Outcomes of the Bank of Japan's March Meeting and Germany's "Debt Brake" Reform

The Bank of Japan has concluded its March policy meeting, delivering the most anticipated baseline scenario—keeping all monetary policy parameters unchanged. Market participants closely followed the statements of BOJ Governor

Irina Manzenko 23:43 2025-03-19 UTC+2

Euro Hits the Ceiling

Bets are now closed, ladies and gentlemen! Many have already played out. The EUR/USD's hesitation to rise following the Bundestag's approval of Friedrich Merz's fiscal stimulus package indicates that this

Marek Petkovich 23:43 2025-03-19 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is showing signs of recovery for the second consecutive day after a recent decline, rebounding from a two-week low around 1.4260. Spot prices have climbed above

Irina Yanina 10:16 2025-03-19 UTC+2

Stock market pays dear cost for Washington's rhetoric

The boomerang effect: what goes around, comes around The US is retreating from globalization, and it is only a matter of time before it faces the consequences. According

Marek Petkovich 09:51 2025-03-19 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.