empty
23.06.2021 03:33 PM
GBP/USD: Ambiguity goes off the scale

This image is no longer relevant

The UK government is considering allowing vaccinated citizens to travel to more than 150 countries without the need for quarantine on their return to England.

However, this decision may not come into force until August, which means that the tourism business and air carriers will continue to suffer losses. At the same time, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, during a speech on Sky News on June 21, warned citizens that 2021 will be difficult for traveling abroad since the main goal of the government is to prevent the import of coronavirus infection into the country.

In simple words, it will be possible to travel, but at your own risk. Let me remind you that this is not the first warning from the government regarding travel and hints to suspend it.

Boris Johnson did not stop there, saying on Sky News that the country could face new epidemiological threats, and new lockdowns are possible this winter.

That is, there is no guarantee that the situation with the pandemic will end, restrictions even after their removal on July 19 can be re-introduced and tightened as necessary. Thus, business and investment continue to stand awkwardly in place, as it is unclear what will happen next.

The fears of the government are justified. Since the end of May, there has been a steady increase in new cases of infection in the UK. According to the recently obtained data, they are already at the levels of February, and this is a signal of a new wave.

Now a concern arises, the UK is one of the leading countries in mass vaccination, but somehow this does not stop the outbreak. The deadlines for lifting restrictive measures may be shifted again and tightened as necessary. This, in turn, will lead to new bankruptcies, layoffs, and a deterioration of the economic situation in the country.

What is happening in the market in terms of technical analysis?

The pound sterling sank in value against the US dollar in the last trading week, where the price coordinates 1.3785 serves as a variable pivot point, relative to which a technical correction occurred. The recovery of the quotes brought us to the area of the psychological level of 1.3950/1.4000/1.4050, regaining about half of the inertia in the period of June 16-18.

Given the ambiguous situation with the coronavirus pandemic, it is not excluded that the pound will again be hit by sellers, where the previously set inertial downward course in the market will be extended to new price levels.

It is worth recalling that even at the beginning of the month, the quotes were moving in the area of the maximum of the medium-term upward trend, which in turn was intertwined with the highs of 2018.

In simple terms, the pound sterling is still very expensive, even taking into account the recent collapse, and there is room for it to decline.

For the best assimilation of trading cycles, open the daily chart of GBP/USD, where the whole depressing situation is visible to the naked eye. If expectations about the COVID situation coincide and Britain has to move the deadline for lifting restrictive measures again, this will lead to a prolonged effect of the weakening of the pound sterling.

This image is no longer relevant

Gven Podolsky,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Sinais de negociação para o EUR/USD para 24-26 de abril de 2025: venda abaixo de 1,1435 (SMA 214 - 7/8 de Murray)

Nosso plano de negociação para as próximas horas é aguardar que o euro se recupere até os níveis de resistência próximos de 1,1429 ou 1,1435 para vender, com alvos

Dimitrios Zappas 21:44 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento de preço da prata, quinta-feira, 24 de abril de 2025

No gráfico de 4 horas, o instrumento da commodity prata apresenta sinais de fortalecimento. Esse cenário é confirmado pelo movimento do preço, que está acima da WMA (30, deslocamento 2)

Arief Makmur 17:28 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento de preços do índice Nasdaq 100, quinta-feira, 24 de abril de 2025.

Embora o índice Nasdaq 100 esteja se movimentando lateralmente no gráfico de 4 horas, a faixa de oscilação é relativamente ampla, o que ainda representa uma oportunidade promissora. Atualmente

Arief Makmur 17:25 2025-04-24 UTC+2

OURO: Os preços do ouro podem cair significativamente em um futuro próximo

Os preços do ouro passaram recentemente por uma correção significativa, refletindo as expectativas de que Estados Unidos e China iniciem negociações concretas sobre tarifas e comércio em geral. A declaração

Pati Gani 17:16 2025-04-24 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário de preços do AUD/JPY, quarta-feira, 23 de abril de 2025

Com a presença de uma divergência entre o movimento de preços do par AUD/JPY e o indicador Stochastic Oscillator, além do preço estar acima da média móvel ponderada (WMA)

Arief Makmur 16:00 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário do preço do ouro, quarta-feira, 23 de abril de 2025

Ao observar o gráfico de 4 horas, o ouro ainda apresenta viés de alta. No entanto, a divergência entre o movimento de preços do ouro e o indicador Stochastic Oscillator

Arief Makmur 15:51 2025-04-23 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário de preços do GBP/CHF, terça-feira, 22 de abril de 2025

Ao analisarmos o gráfico de 4 horas do par cruzado GBP/CHF, observamos diversos elementos interessantes. Primeiramente, o surgimento de um padrão de triângulo, aliado ao movimento

Arief Makmur 15:50 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário de preços do AUD/CAD, terça-feira, 22 de abril de 2025

Com o par AUD/CAD se movendo acima da média móvel ponderada de 21 períodos (WMA 21), que apresenta inclinação positiva, e com a ocorrência de convergência entre o movimento

Arief Makmur 15:47 2025-04-22 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário de preços do EUR/GBP, segunda-feira, 21 de abril de 2025

Com base no gráfico de 4 horas, o par EUR/GBP parece estar se movendo acima da EMA (100), o que indica que os compradores dominam o par. Assim, no futuro

Arief Makmur 15:36 2025-04-21 UTC+2

Análise técnica do movimento intradiário do USD/JPY, segunda-feira, 21 de abril de 2025.

Com o surgimento da convergência entre o movimento de preço do principal par de moedas USD/JPY, o indicador Oscilador Estocástico e a posição da EMA (100), que está acima

Arief Makmur 15:31 2025-04-21 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.